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  • THE DEMOCRATS, THE DSA, JIMMY CARTER AND GAUGUIN
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  • WEEKEND NEWS NOTES: ISRAEL, SETTLEMENTS, POMPEO DOCTRINE, UKRAINE

    February 25, 2024

    FRIDAY 23 FEBRUARY 2024

    News Notes:

    Russia: Sanctions, Wall Street Journal

    • Biden announces new sanctions on Russia in response to the murder of Navalny, but the Wall Street Journal is calling them “symbolic.”  The headline says they “may be symbolic.”  The last round of sanctions didn’t seem to have much of an effect.
    • The WSJ says that “US officials privately concede” that the sanctions “are likely to land a limited blow.”  Great.  Just f…ing great.
    • The US has “limited options” and fears the “economic consequences a full oil embargo…would unleash in an election year.”
    • They are termed: “narrowly targeted sanctions.”
    • “Analysts also express doubt that the latest round will have much impact.”
    • Critics say it is “another utilitarian step that only creates an illusion…as Ukraine’s defenses are crumbling…”
    • The existing sanctions have, according to a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, “fallen far short of expectations.”  The new sanction are expected to prove “more symbolic than it is impactful.”
    • Within the country, sanctions targeted at individuals are considered a sign of loyalty to Putin.
    • Elaine Dezenski, former Department of Homeland Security official, notes that allies could transfer Russian frozen foreign currency reserves and other sovereign assets to Ukraine. 

    Israel: Haaretz

    The Pompeo Doctrine

    • Israel announced new settlement construction in the West Bank this week. 
    • In response, the Biden administration reversed one of Trump’s efforts to placate Netanyahu. 
    • Even though Blinken said that: “It’s been longstanding U.S. policy…that new settlements are counterproductive…” the Trump administration implemented something called “The Pompeo Doctrine.”  Under this policy, Israeli settlements were “not per se inconsistent with international law.”  This somehow overturned previous precedent.
    • (Note: How does this happen?  Trump and Pompeo can just issue a memo on their own?)
    • This policy was instituted by Trump a month before he lost the 2020 election.  According to Haaretz, it was “formulated by the Kohelet Policy Forum, a right-wing think tank behind…Netanyahu’s controversial judicial overhaul efforts.”  (Note: Yet another example of authoritarian governments and authoritarian aspiring governments working in tandem.

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  • February 24, 2024

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  • February 24, 2024

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  • February 24, 2024

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  • NEWS NOTES: FBI INFORMANT

    February 23, 2024

    WEDNESDAY 21 FEBRUARY 2024

    House Notes:

    • It’s cold, or cold for Georgia.  Every joint and bone in my body hurts.  I’m going to have to move to Florida, no wait, the Florida legislature was trying to pass a law allowing them to use Florida taxpayer money to pay off Trump’s legal bills.  How, the f..k is this possible.  The brief news report last night was that they dropped the idea when DeSantis threatened to veto it.
    • I can hear the train whistling in the distance.  It’s the same whistle I heard every day for the first 20 years of my existence.  I love the sound of the train whistling.  And in this house (I’m 72) it’s roughly the same distance from the house I grew up in, about a mile.  I love the sound of the train whistling.  Adventure, promise, comfort, change, regularity, challenge, everything wrapped into one.
    • The cats are all outside at least those who were willing to brave the cold.  My little gray cat, Hiram Bernard, waited for me at the bottom of the stairs while I was making coffee, to put me back to bed.  He usually can tell when I don’t feel well.  We think he is the reincarnation of Burmese cat, little Neal, who spent 22 years at my side.  Literally, every time I was at home for twenty-two years he was within reach.  We think Little Neal, also solid gray, shopped around for a body and found Hiram’s.  Neal arranged to have this five-week-old kitten body dumped in our front yard so he could continue to take care of me.  It’s a gift, what a gift from God would feel like.
    • Hiram just walked back into the bedroom from HIS upstairs patio to make sure I’m alright.  I can hear him thinking: “If she’s typing, she’s alright.”
    • And, then, there’s the political reality.

    News Notes

    MSNBC

    • The FBI informant story does not make sense to me.  How did the FBI allow this guy to pump information into an important Senate Committee for years knowing he was lying?
    • (Note: What on earth has Katty Kay decided to do to her hair?)
    • Alexander Smirnoff, the FBI informant, was in court yesterday with some members of his family speaking Russian.
    • He told the FBI (after he was arrested and in handcuffs) that he had been colluding with Russian intelligence about the story about Hunter Biden.  He lied about a series of meetings with Russian officials.  There is nothing about whether the information is true.
    • The detention memo unfiled yesterday revealed previously classified information.  A ten-year source for the FBI, this guy was.  Tom Winter is reporting that he had been “run out” of another field office?  What’s that about?
    • Form 1023, which I think contained the bogus information about Hunter Biden, was just a form recording what Smirnoff told the FBI, that’s it.  In the Spring last year, there was a big fight over that form being released.  Congressional Republicans threatened Christopher Wray over its release.
    • “There’s no legal vetting.”  Tom Winter is talking about the Russians feeding information directly into a Congressional Committee.  They were feeding information with no legal vetting.  The Russians realized they didn’t even have to feed bogus information to the FBI.  They could just go directly to Conress.
    • (Note: Who leaked the information to Congress about the 1023?)
    • (Tom Winter, usually logical, informative, seems especially rattled this morning, over this story.  What’s that about?) 
    • (Note: Last night, this morning, they never show photographs of Smirnoff, just Hunter Biden.)  (Note: Thursday night they showed Smirnoff leaving the courthouse with masks on.)
    • Winter reports that Smirnoff had contacts with Russian organized crime.  Organized crime is the grease in the wheels of the Russian government.
    • In Munich, European government officials are terrified about what is going on in the US.  How much more effective Russian spying has become in the past few years.  Once again, they are interfering with the 24 elections. 
    • Question asked on the show: Why don’t Americans see this, the connection with Russia?  (Note: SOME OF US HAVE FOR 8 YEARS and we have been screaming about it.  Mueller Report, Sarah Kenzior).
    • What does this do to the Republicans?  They are going to just deny it.
    • Winter: This (unattributed) has been going on for a long time.  (Note: The planting of Russian disinformation).  Bill Barr talked about information coming in from Ukraine about the Bidens.
    • Joe Scarborough: Republicans hate Biden more than they fear Putin.  The US has been played once again.  “Putin has Republicans on a string.”  They depended on an “international fugitive” to take down Joe Biden.
    • Republicans are relying on the Russians to get them back into power again.
    • Trump last night on Fox News: “We are turning into a Communist country.”  “I never even heard of being indicted.”  (Note: I am sure that Trump couldn’t even tell you what Communism is.)

    FOX NEWS

    • Passenger with video of defective wing on airplane.  (Note: There’s no connecting these stories with the war on regulations conducted by the Republicans for decades).

    Ukraine

    • More hostages taken by Russia for benefit.

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  • The RELIGIOUS RIGHT

    February 23, 2024

    open.substack.com/pub/crownewsletter/p/christian-right-observer-weekly-volume-cdc

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  • The Brian Lehrer Show | WNYC | New York Public Radio, Podcasts, Live Streaming Radio, News

    February 22, 2024

    Brian Lehrer leads the conversation about what matters most now in local and national politics, our own communities and our …
    — Read on www.wnyc.org/shows/bl

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  • MEHDI HASSAN. WONDERFUL CONVERSATION

    February 22, 2024

    podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/pod-save-america/id1192761536

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  • SEPARATION OF CHURCH AND STATE, ALABAMA

    February 21, 2024

    Even before birth, all human beings have the image of God, and their lives cannot be destroyed without effacing his glory,” Chief Justice Tom Parker wrote in a concurring opinion, citing scripture.

    www.nytimes.com/2024/02/20/health/ivf-alabama-abortion.html

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  • The Two-State Mirage: How to Break the Cycle of Violence in a One-State Reality

    February 21, 2024

    Israel’s devastating response to Hamas’s shocking October 7 attack has produced a humanitarian catastrophe.

    But the idea of a Palestinian state emerging from the rubble of Gaza has no basis in reality. Long before October 7, it was clear that the basic elements needed for a two-state solution no longer existed. Israel had elected a right-wing government that included officials who were openly opposed to two states. The Palestinian leadership recognized by the West—the Palestinian Authority (PA)—had become deeply unpopular among Palestinians. And Israeli settlements had grown to the extent that creating a viable, contiguous Palestinian state had become almost impossible. For nearly a quarter century, there had also been no serious Israeli-Palestinian negotiations, and no major constituency in Israeli politics supported resuming them. Hamas’s shocking attack on Israel and Israel’s subsequent months-long obliteration of Gaza have only exacerbated and accelerated those trends.

    Israel’s politicians bear most of the responsibility for this grim reality as it developed over decades, aided by weak Palestinian leaders and indifferent Arab governments. But no external party shares more blame than the United States, which has enabled and defended the most right-wing government in Israel’s history. The Biden administration cannot create peace just by calling for it.

    The Gaza Strip came under Egyptian control during the 1948 war, when the state of Israel was established. In 1967, Israel conquered Gaza, along with the West Bank, the Sinai Peninsula, and the Golan Heights. Over the next 26 years, Israel directly governed the small, densely packed strip, introducing Jewish settlements as it did in the other territories it captured. In 1993, following the Oslo accords, Israel handed over some daily management of Gaza to the PA but retained effective domination with a permanent military presence, control over its land perimeter and airspace, and oversight of its finances and tax revenues.

    Israelis had soured on a two-state solution long before October 7. Over the past decade, the Israeli peace camp, represented by the Meretz Party, had declined electorally to the point of near elimination; in 2022, it failed to cross the electoral threshold for Knesset representation. The current Israeli government had all but disavowed a two-state outcome and included right-wing members who openly aspired to full annexation of Gaza and the West Bank. October 7 accelerated the trend. The Israeli public has overwhelmingly lost what little faith remained in a two-state outcome, as a settler movement intent on dominating all the land between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea has relentlessly risen to power.

    Recent polling shows that there is still some support for a two-state solution among the Palestinians but virtually no confidence in the United States to deliver 

    — Read on www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/two-state-mirage-gaza-palestinians-lynch

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  • Morning News Notes: FBI Informant, Israel

    February 21, 2024

    MORNING NEWS NOTES

    WEDNESDAY 21 FEBRUARY 2024

    Notes:

    Ukraine

    • There is increasing fear of a nuclear meltdown at Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.  This would poison crops and livestock and render large areas of land uninhabitable.  (MSNBC)

    Israel

    • The US is maintaining that it has taken a new position at the UN with an alternate cease fire plan for Gaza.  The plan would be a temporary cease fire rather than the permanent cease fire asked for in the UN resolution vetoed by the US. 
    • Palestinian Authority President, claims that the US veto makes the US an accomplice in genocide (Haaretz, 2/20/24).
    • The US draft resolution restates the opposition of the US to a pending Israeli incursion into the city of Rafah (WP, 2/20/24).
    • IDF carried out drone strike on armed militants in the West Bank (Haaretz, 2/20/24).
    • The UN announced that it would cease delivery of aid to northern Gaza because of civilian attacks on distribution trucks.  The distributions by UNRWA had been suspended three weeks ago because of attacks.  The organization reported that a convoy was also attacked with gunfire at the entrance to Gaza City.  The agency cited a “complete chaos and violence due to the collapse of civil order” (Haaretz, 2/20/24).
    • For the first time since Netanyahu took power in this most recent government coalition, a committee for appointing judges met.  Far-right members sought to exclude justices they deemed too liberal from being appointed (Haaretz, 2/20/24).
    • Far-Right political parties: Likud, Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit.
    • Indian workers, unemployed, seek to replace Palestinians who previously worked inside Israel (Haaretz 2/19/24).

    Russia

    • American woman faces 20 years in prison in Russia for donating to Ukrainian war effort.  Commentators have noted that this is just another example of Russian hostages (MSNBC)
    • The Wall Street Journal journalist Evan Gershkovich, is still being held prisoner in Russia. 
    • Wagner, the paramilitary group formerly led by Yevgeny Prigozhin, has been rebranded “The Expeditionary Corps, and brought under Kremlin control.  The Kremlin is offering “regime-survival packages” to authoritarian African leaders (Telegraph 2/20/24)
    •  

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  • THIS DAMN DOG

    February 20, 2024

    I’ve lived with a number of dogs across the years. Until recently I’d never lived with one who made me feel like I was being outsmarted. Or like I …

    THIS DAMN DOG

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  • RUSSIAN ECONOMY.

    February 20, 2024

    www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/02/20/russia-losing-economic-war-west-must-not-lose-nerve/

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  • Tuesday News Notes: Russian Economy and Capitalism

    February 20, 2024

    TUESDAY 20 FEBRUARY 2024

    MORNING NEWS NOTES

    Oh Boy:

    • Russia fires North Korean missile with US parts.  The joys of capitalism.
    • Source: CNN
    • The Russian economy, despite much touted sanctions, is growing.
    • The Russian economy is allowing Putin to move further and further into authoritarian control.  See Telegraph 2/20/24.
    • “I think there was a lot of wishful thinking at the beginning of the war.”
    • “I don’t see any kind of risks for the political situation because of unhappiness with the war,” says Alexandra Prokopenko, a visiting fellow on the German Council on Foreign Relations in Berlin. Before the war she advised Russia’s central bank.
    • “Unfortunately, the death of Alexei Navalny shows to me that any possibility of democratic transit of power after Putin’s death is now closed because there is no such figure among the Russian opposition,” she adds.
    •  
    • Fullscreen button
    • “I think there was a lot of wishful thinking at the beginning of the war. Historically, there has never been an example of immediate economic catastrophe as a result of sanctions,” says Konstantin Sonin, a political economist at the University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy.
    • Waging a war requires huge amounts of money and labour, with the growth figures boosted by high military spending. The numbers show that Putin has presided over a shift to a “highly militarised economy”, Prokopenko says.
    • Meanwhile, subsidised loans to businesses and people to meet strong domestic demand have also helped push up the figures.
    • “All these should be served with a sauce of lax enforcement of Western sanctions and tolerance to inflation from the population and so-called technocrats,” Prokopenko adds.
    • Richard Connolly, an expert on Russia’s economy at the Royal United Services Institute in London, says optimism about how hard sanctions would bite shows a lack of understanding in the West and a failure to learn from what happened in 2014 during the annexation of Crimea.
    • “I think it was arrogance, I think it was also ineptitude,” says Connolly, who adds that economists should not underestimate the impacts of war-related growth.
    • “A lot of people say it doesn’t count because it’s military spending. But you have to pay people to work in factories, you have to pay for all of the inputs,” he says. “While it’s true that you’re producing goods that are going to end up exploding and you’d say there’s no ultimate benefit from that, there is a benefit for the people who are paid to produce them. As a result, we’ve seen real incomes rise last year for the first time in years.”
    • Meanwhile, unemployment is at a record low meaning that anyone who wants a job will find one, he adds.
    • Russia has been forced to find new trading partners in response to the sanctions and now trades far more with countries including China, India and Turkey.
    • “Sanctions always create winners and losers. We tend to focus on the losers but there are a lot of winners too,” Connolly says.
    • Many observers argue that the absence of economic collapse in Russia reflects the slow-burn nature of sanctions, with pain being stored up for the future. Connolly is less convinced.
    • He believes Russia is adapting, and so sanctions may become less effective over time.
    • “They’ve [Russia] reoriented their trade flows dramatically,” says Connolly. “Even during the Cold War its biggest trade partner was Western Europe, and now it’s non-Western countries. There has never been a shift like this in Russian economic history – I don’t mean since 1991, I mean since 1500.”
    •  
    • Soldiers going to fight in Ukraine will receive huge sums of money, dwarfing what they otherwise could have earned.
    • “My neighbour lost her husband and they got a really good payout for it,” says Elina. “What they ended up doing is taking that payout and going to Thailand and living there for six months afterwards. She was very proud that he died defending his country.”
    • The strength of the Russian economy will only embolden Putin further, warns Connolly.
    • Source: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/how-the-russian-economy-allowed-putin-to-silence-navalny-forever/ar-BB1iytHD

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  • RAMADAN

    February 20, 2024

    www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-02-20/ty-article/.premium/u-s-officials-worry-ramadan-may-hold-perfect-storm-leading-to-regional-blow-up/0000018d-c364-db4d-a5fd-df6e8a630000

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