Monday 24 August 2026
CUBA NEW
ARTICLE: O’Grady, Mary Anastasia (8/24/26) “What a Cuban transition might look like. The Wall Street Journal.” Wall Street Journal.
· Rubio is “ratcheting up U.S pressure on the top echelon of the Cuban military.”
· The worry is that with nothing to take its place the 67-year-old regime will descend into “a mix of chaos and crony capitalism.” The U.S. will be responsible for cleaning it up.
· “Foreign subsidies have dried up, a corrupt military cabal steals government revenue, the electrical grid has collapsed, tourists have vanished, ad the population is shrinking.”
· The U.S. is offering help conditioned o political change.
· “…the elite still live lives of privilege.”
· Rubio intends to hit “powerful and strategically important individuals with economic sanctions…” The government is also revoking visas and residency cards of Cuban insiders and their family members.
· The Wall Street Journal characterizes their life as “hanging around the Carribbean backwater, deprived of access to numbered bank accounts, increasingly isolated and hated by the nation.”
· Rubio told Axios earlier in August, “What we’re trying to teach them is there are no escape valves.”
· People: Rafael Romeu, president of the Assoiation for the Study of the Cuban Economy. He came to the U.S. as a child in 1980.
· Institutions: American Museum of the Cuban Diaspora.
· Rafael Romeu notes that Cuba will need American support to pay “civil servants, police and doctors and avoid the collapse of public security…” “Cuba’s reconstruction,” he notes “must be funded by private-sector investment and Cuan diaspora capital…”
· Romeu notes Cuba’s “highly centralized legal system” that will allow change easily. They will need to provide “legal certainty” to investors.
· Institutions: GAESA – military conglomerate
· Romeu notes the corruption that pervaded the Russian, post Soviet collapse, when vultures scooped up property at fire-sale prices. This is something that should be avoided (note: but probably won’t).
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ARTICLE: Sunkara, Bhaskar (7/22/26) “Cuba will not be starved into submission.” (An interview with Ernesto Soberon Guzman) The Nation.
· People:Ernesto Soberon Guzman, Cuba’s permanent representative to the United Nations.
· Guzman benefited from the free education and healthcare provided by Cuba and trained as an industrial engineer.
· Guzman: The current blockade cannot be separated from the policids pursued by the US for the past six decades. “It is a comprehensive system of economic coercioin explicitly designed to deprive Cuba of resources, creTE SHORTages, undermind economic actrivity, generate social hardship, and ultimately provoke political change.” This objective was openly acknowledged in official documents dating back to 1960 which advocated “denying Cuba financial resourcesand supplies in order to produce hunger, desperation, and the overthrow of the government.” (Quote from Guzman).
· “The objective has been to intimidate suppliers shipping companies insurancers, financial institutions, and third countries into refusing any transaction involving fuel destined for Cuba.”
· “The arbitrary inclusion of Cuba on the US list of State Sponsored of Terrorism has copounded these effects by paralyzing normal banking operations.”
· “no country can develop while being subjected to the most comprehensive system of unilateral coercive measures in the world.”
· Question: Was the June 18 package of liberalization measures a sharp turn?
· Guzman: “…they represent another stage in a process of updating our economic model that has ben underway for many years.” Part of this updating is “broadening the participation of the private sector, attracting investment, and creating greater flexibility…”
· “They are intended to strengthen the country’s capacity to withstand eternal aggression while preserving the social achievements of the revolution.”
· They are not an imitation of or response to any other model or pressure.
· “The emergence of non-state economic actors is viewed as a valuable and important complement to our economic model.”
· What must be maintained? “universal access to healthcare and education remains absolutely nonnegotiable.”
· What measures seem likely after Venezuela and the Iran blockade? “additional financial sanctions, efforts to discourage foreign investment, restrictions on banking operations, measures against aritime transportation and obstacles to fuel supplies…” These are already being implemented.
· “What we insist upon is sovereign equality, mutual respect, and strict adherence to international law and the p rinciples and purposes of the Charter of the United Nations.”
· “Ultimately, the future of Cuba belongs exclusively to the Cuban people.”
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CUBA (Expanded)
Marco Rubio is the son of Cuban immigrants. His parents left three years before the 1959 revolution. His mother tried to return a few years later but “Fidel Castro’s dictatorship made it impossible.” (Note: I have no idea what that means. The quote is from the article) (Balls, 8/15/26)
Rubio claims in his memoir “An American Son,” that he promised his grandfather that he would “someday lead an army of exiles to overthrow Fidel Castro and become president of a free Cuba.” (Note: Quote from the memoir.) (Balls, 8/15/26).
One former Trump aide is quoted in the article as saying “Marco wants to end up in Cuba. It’s his life’s work.” (Balls, 8/15/26). But Rubio’s life work seems to have resulted in policies implemented by the U.S. in Cuba which have been “brutal.”
The State Department issued a report last month entitled “Cuba: The Capital of 21st-Century Communism” obviously intended to make the case that Cuba was a life threat to America today (Balls, 8/15/26).
Four days later, Fox News was quoting Melissa Ford Maldonado’s. Report “Cuba and the Fight for the Western Hemisphere” arguing that Cuba’s security risk had often been overlooked. The report flags Cuba’s relationships with US adversaries. “Those partnerships create opportunities for cyber operations and political influence close to home” “Cuba is a massive national security threat to the United States,” blares the report’s author (Lachter, 8/19/26).
Trump has accused Cuba as aligning itself with Russia, China, Iran and Iranian proxies. (Note Given Trump’s alignment with Russia, this is rich.) Power outages are exceeding 20 hours a day, crippling food production, transportation and tourism. “Reuters described the situation as one of the most severe economic and political crises in Cuba’s modern history and said it had been exacerbated by the Trump administration’s oil restrictions and hardened sanctions” (Lachtner, 8/19/26).
Human Rights, (July the 7th) noted severe shortages of food and medicine, prolonged blackouts, water shortages and deteriorated living conditions. But still the Trump administration blames the Cuban regime. One has aligned and repressed the other for 67 years now. (Note: You get to guess which one is which). Ford Maldono said. So maximum pressure is what’s necessary… to hold the Cuban people (Lachter, 8/18/26)
A figure close to the Trump administration was reported as saying of the U.S. government’s intent to seize Cuba: “…if they have to take it, they’ll take it (Balls, 8/19/26).
The preference is said to be for the current president Miguel Diaz-Canal to step down. Rubio sent a message to Cubans on Cuba’s Independence Day, blaming the Cuban government for the Blackouts and food shortages. He wanted, he said, to help and offered $100 million in food and medical assistance (Balls, 8/19/26).
At the moment, Russia provides fuel and Beijing offers financial investment. Another “figure close to the administration” said that Cuba “was a great place pre-Castro, had a great economy, had a great tourism industry…Castro messed it up.” “It was kind of a Miami nightclub scene before you had a Miami nightclub scene” (Balls, 8/19/26).
Among those proposed to take a leadership role are Raul Guillermo Rodriguez Castro. Rual is the grandson of former president Raul Rastro and great-nephew of Fidel. “Raul has said he would step up if he had to and deal with anyone (including Trump) on the American side (Balls, 8/19/26).
But Cuba has proven more difficult than Americans have often thought. In 1961, John F. Kennedy approved the Bay of Pigs invasion – “the CIA-financed operation in which 1,400 Cuban exiles landed on the shores to overthrow Castro’s government – only to discover Castro had been tipped off. It was a debacle. More than 40 people died and many were held prisoner until the US paid up” (Balls, 8/19/26).
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Balls, Katy (8/15/26) “Is the Cuban regime about to be toppled?” The Sunday Times.
Lachter, Efrat (8/19/26) “Cuba’s economic freefall…” Fox News.
LIFE NOTES
The hard working men we call the “Monday Mexis” were here early. They start with the yard next door and then move on to us. The cats usually scatter and head for the door when they hear the truck doors slam next door at Troy’s house. They know who the Morning Mexis are and just how much noise they make. We usually have nine cats inside within five minutes of arrival time. They vacate the yard and then vacate even the catio. It’s funny sometimes to watch several grossly overweight cats trying to get into the kitty door to the library at one time.
But, they settle down, each finding a spot to start their morning nap, totally ignoring the machines and the cutters.
This is our second group of Monday Mexis. The first group was swept up by ICE almost before the ICE raids got started. Jahinte was picked up driving his workers to a job and they were all swept up to an ice facility nearby. Then he was transferred to California and then back to his father’ ranch in central Mexico. He was a nice man, a good man, an industrious worker, a loss to our family and a loss to the country.
The cats just told Mike it was suppertime. I swear they have more accurate timers than we do. You can’t escape when it’s meal time. They mob you. You cannot, cannot ignore eighteen disapproving eyes staring you down.
So, I’m still trying to finish my blog (which was supposed to be finished by 12 Noon). I already did my Spanish and have done no art work at all. I need to finish the corners and sides of the most recent painting of the marsh across the water in the back of the house. It is painstaking work, not the most fun, but at least I will be finished.
After that I am going to start on a painting of a friend’s cat “Mean Cat.” I processed it through Prisma and then had it printed out on a canvas. Can’t wait to get started. Have a nice rest of the afternoon, those of you who are decent.
Christina
LIFE AND NEWS NOTES