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  • Ukraine Update: 2:00 PM

    February 28, 2022

    Monday 28 February 2022

    • There are a lot of pledges but how long will it take for the Ukrainians to actually receive this aid.
    • Jonathan Lemiire, MSNBC, making the point that it is difficult to get weapons into Ukraine now.  That is why Zelensky was arguing for doing this arming and sanctioning before the invasion.
    • Lemire is now repeating the “questions about Putin’s rationality.”
    • This “Putin is a madman” narrative has been created by corporate media.
    • There is repeated praise of Biden for “bringing NATO together.”  NATO “coming together” may well be a response to the knowledge that Americans can no longer be relied upon.  Trump is likely to be back in office in 2024 and they can’t afford to rely on the United States.  As usual, Joe Scarborough is touting a “Major success for Joe Biden and the administration.” 
    •  The corporate media is sanitizing the war in Ukraine by refusing to show dead and mutilated bodies.  The news media is supposed to be there to show the reality of war, not a fictionalized portrayal that makes it appear like a video game.
    • There is a narrative being pushed on the internet about Ukrainians not caring about black citizens, almost uniformly single men working in Ukraine.  The posts show a video of Ukrainians trying to get on trains to leave Ukraine, especially Kyiv.  They are young black men.  The twitter narrative is that Ukrainians are fascists who don’t care about immigrants and black people.  In fact, the Ukrainians were trying to get women and children and elderly people out of Kyiv.  The fact that they were refusing to allow young men to board trains was because of that.
    •  In addition, in the video I saw, these young men were pushing and shoving people out of the way attempting to get a place on the train.  Cultures differ greatly in the way they access public services.  Some cultures push and shove to get on trains, other cultures wait in line.
    • Richard Haas on MSNBC this moring was talking about the fact that many people have been disappointed by the Israeli response to condemning the Russian invasion.  But, Haas notes, the Israelis think their relationship with Russia is more important than their relationship with Ukraine, or in the end, the U.S.  The Russians and the Israelis have evidently come to some kind of agreement to keep Israel out of the Syrian conflict.
    • It strikes me as ironic that NATO refused to allow Ukraine to join and then uses the fact that Ukraine is not a NATO member to justify not helping them fight off an invasion.
    • The Biden administration made a decision early on not to commit US troops to the fight.  Not only did they make that decision, they announced it to the world, thus taking a bargaining chip off the table in a truly Obamian unilateral capitulation.

    Ukraine World is reporting

    • Canada has prevented financial entities from doing business with the Russian Central Bank, effectively immediately.
    • Ukrainian delegation members have demanded that Russia withdraw all its troops including those in Crimea and districts of the Donbas. 
    • The Russians have used a “vacuum bomb’ on an oil depot in Okhtyrka Sumy region, in northern Ukraine.  Its use has been prohibited by the Geneva Conventions.
    • We need an immediate embargo on oil and gas from Russia. 
    • Russia is targeting civilian areas of Kyiv.
    •  

    Other sources:

    • After the curfew was lifted, people in Kiev were out at stores trying to find food and supplies.
    • I heard one woman comment that a few days ago she was out having coffee at a café in the street. Now, she’s not sure she can find enough food to survive.

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  • Ukraine Update: 9:30 PM

    February 27, 2022

    Ukraine Update:

    9:30 PM 2/27/22

    From the Kyiv Independent:

    • As a result of a referendum, Belarus will renounce its non-nuclear status and allow Russia to place nuclear weapons on its territory. 
    • There are reports of Belarus paratroopers being used to attack Ukraine.
    • Lukashenko significantly extended his executive powers.
    • Viktor Medvedchuk has fled house arrest in Kyiv.  He is a Ukrainian MP and a long-time representative of Putin in Ukraine.  He has been charged with treason and financing terrorism. 
    • There are air raid alerts in Kyiv.
    • EU imposes sanctions on Belarus.
    • The EU has shut down Russian media companies RT and Sputnik.

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  • Putin is a “madman”: Delusional Wishful Thinking

    February 27, 2022

    Last night on MSNBC,  Amyn Mohyeldin joined the “Putin is a madman” narrative. 

    Mohyeldin admitted that he and Nina Khrushcheva (Khrushchev’s great grand daughter) were skeptical about Putin’s intention to invade.  I have no idea why.  Despite all the intelligence, they thought Putin was not going to invade. 

    Khrusheva now claims in a new article in the Globe and Mail that Putin “no longer seems capable of the calculations that are supposed to guide a leader’s decision-making.”  “Putin joins a long line of irrational tyrants.”

    Thus continues the invented narrative repeated again and again on CNN and MSNBC and now joined by Michael McFaul. 

    The “Putin is a madman” narrative serves a number of interests.

    1. If Putin is a madman, nothing we could have done in the years before (when McFaul was in the government) could have prevented this situation.  All the Obama administration officials and the Trump officials are absolved of responsibility because who could have imagined a manman would invade Ukraine.
    2. Severe sanctions will not deter a mad man, incapable of rational thinking or response.
    3. If a madman is running the war effort in Russia, more logical minds might intervene and overthrow Putin.  Therefore, the U.S. woldn’t have to do anything, just wait for the Russians to remove Putin. (Good luck).
    4. If we are dealing with a madman, no logical steps we can take will make a difference, therefore, why try.

    I think this “Putin is a madman” narrative (based on zero evidence that I have heard is dangerous wishful thinking. 

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  • Ukraine Update: 8:00 PM

    February 26, 2022

    Saturday 26 8:00 PM

    MSNBC

    •          CNN is showing Russian tanks and rocket launchers near the city of Belgorod, Russia, they are going toward Kharkiv, Ukraine.   

    •          There is an enormous explosion outside of Kyiv.  Earlier commentators speculated that a hit had been made on a fuel facility.

    •          There are suggestions that the Russian advance has stalled.  But, this may be wishful thinking and stalling on the ground may mean that a stronger attack may come tonight with air power.

    •          The Russian media is not reporting casualties or allowing media to refer to a “war” or an “invasion” or an “attack.”  Instead they have been instructed to call it a “special military operation.”

    •          There is a growing sense of alarm being reported about the economic sanctions.  The freezing of assets of the central bank and the partial SWIFT exclusion will affect working Russians.  The value of the ruble has already fallen and people are worried that their savings will be worthless by the time this invasion ends.  The point was made that sanctions are aimed at the political leadership, but it financially takes out middle class people.

    •          Some members of the Russian parliament are now saying that they did not vote for the recognition of the Donbas regions which gave Putin authority to go into Ukraine.  If this is true, the protests in Ukraine and the world reaction is having some kind of effect.

    •          The Russians have not blocked, but slowed down Twitter and Facebook.  There is a Russian equivalent of Facebook. That is slowed down as well.

    •          Russian media is linking  the Ukrainian government to Neo-Nazis or the CIA.

    •          Germany is going to send military supplies to Ukraine. 

    •          When asked if military supplies were enough to turn the tide, William Taylor said: “I don’t think so.”  Even though there has been another Blinken announcement of money going to Ukraine,        “They need a lot and they need it now.”  They need weapons that can take out planes and tanks.

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  • SWIFT Sanctions.

    February 26, 2022

    apple.news/Au6DdRVS3T0e1ZUw7OJFlbQ

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  • Update Ukraine 7:30 PM 1:30 PM

    February 26, 2022
    • While many people are concerned about the implications of a Russian take over of Chornobyl, a commentator on MSNBC points out that the danger is more likely to come from the operational nuclear plants in Ukraine.
    • Note: How long has this story been in the news and Katy Tur (MSNBC) doesn’t know where Chernobyl is. 
    • Note: Nothing reveals the utter stupidity of corporate media pundits like having to carry on an unscripted conversation about anything outside this country. 
    • Most of Europe has now agreed to remove Russia from the SWIFT banking system.  The U.S was (even up to this afternoon) using their objections to cover for its own unwillingness to upset the economic apple cart for the elite.  The corporate media has fallen in lock step with the narrative that removal of Russia from swift 1) isn’t as effective as it was cracked up to be and 2) could be done if it weren’t for the objections of the Europeans. 
    • There has been an announcement that certain Russian banks will be removed from SWIFT.
    • The Ukrainians would not be asking for a removal of Russia from SWIFT if it weren’t effective. 

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  • Germany to send thousands of weapons to Ukraine in major reversal – Axios

    February 26, 2022

    Germany had previously opposed arming Ukraine due to its “historical responsibilities.”
    — Read on www.axios.com/germany-weapons-ukraine-russia-156e24ad-b591-421e-9c22-105118adc377.html

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  • We’re appalled by Putin now, but be clear: the west gave him the green light | Jonathan Freedland | The Guardian

    February 26, 2022

    He has hardly kept his worldview secret – and now Ukraine is paying the price for western leaders who looked the other way, says Guardian. columnist Jonathan Freedland
    — Read on www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/feb/25/putin-west-gave-him-green-light-russia-ukraine

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  • Ukraine Update:

    February 25, 2022

    Ukraine Update: 8:00 PM

    Marlene Dietrich was once asked if she missed the war.  “No,” she said “I miss what people are like when they are trying to be brave.”

    The bravery of the Ukrainian people is impressive and shaming when you think about the fact that half the U.S. population considers themselves oppressed over having to wear a mask to keep from killing other people.

    Earlier today Wesley Clark was on CNN and said that he was used to living in a country that defended the right of other people to be independent and free.  My partner pointed out that the US administration under Bush hauled their asses to Kuwait to defend their right to be free from invasion and they certainly were not part of NATO. 

    Last night, Lawrence Wilkerson, Chief of Staff for Colin Powell, pointed out that the U.S. itself violated every international law in sight when it invaded Iraq.

    There is enough blame to go around.  I have never, ever supported a U.S. military intervention in any country and I have written a book about the media complicity in the invasion of Panama (which the military still refers to as “Operation Just Cause.”)  But, I also cannot believe that we are going to sit here and wring our hands while Putin takes over an independent country militarily and subjugates its population while that population begs for our help.

    It is not a proud day. 

    •        CNN is showing a video report of a fight over a bridge in the city of Kherson, just north of Crimea.  It is thought that this is an offensive directed toward preparing for a move on Kyiv.

    •        There are reports of heavy fighting in Kyiv.

    •        The US has finally put sanctions on Putin and Lavrov, but not made any announcement abut removing Russia from the SWIFT banking communication system.  Biden (and people like Andrea Mitchell) were arguing that Germany was the bar to implementing SWIFT sanctions.  But today there were reports that Germany and others had approved exclusion of Russia from SWIFT.

    •        Adam Kinzinger is calling for establishing a no-fly zone over Ukraine.

    •        Kropyvnytskyi, a city south of Kyiv, is filled with refugees.  Locals are trying to accommodate the refugees.  People are pouring out of Kyiv. 

    •        It always amazes me to hear the corporate media pundits repeat and repeat and repeat the same lines, complete with the same language.  Erin Burdett (CNN could have sent a lot of people to Ukraine, but they chose to sent Erin Burdett) is asking about Putin’s “end game.”  “What is his mission,” asks Burdett.

    • Evelyn Farkas responds with the obvious that “control of Ukraine” is his end game. 

    •        Burdett then starts the media narrative about Putin’s mental state, a total waste of time.  She is commenting on Putin’s “body language.”  Unfortunately there are a lot of commentators who are willing to play the “Putin is unstable” game.  Steve Hall, former CIA chief of Russia Desk starts talking about “data points.”  Macron, according to Hall says he saw a “different Putin.”  Then, Hall talks about a “rant he had a couple of days ago.”  He mentions Putin’s “isolation” due to COVID.  Then, Hall goes into a totally baseless consideration of what is “weighing on his (Putin’s) mind.”  Hall theorizes that Putin is thinking about Afghanistan and the previous president of Ukraine.   Putin is, according to Hall, worrying about his oligarchs.  Note: Putin made those oligarchs oligarchs. I don’t know what he has to worry about.

    •        The Kyiv Independent  (KI) is reporting attacks on a thermal power station in Troieshchyna, on Kyiv’s northers left-bank.

    •        (KI) is also reporting that Zelensky is saying that Russia will attack with full force tonight.

    •        Peskov’s daughter posted an anti-war post but it was quickly taken down.

    •        It’s roughly 3 AM in Ukraine.

    •        Ukrainians are saying they shot down a Russian plane carrying paratroopers.

    •        CNN reporting on the Cat Café.  20 cats are in that cat café. The café is open while everything else is closed.  “If we go, no one will feed our cats.”  They are “our life.”  I love these people.

    •        Wesley Clark said he was used to living in an America who helped people maintain their independence.

    •        Russia blocked a move to have the UN condemn the invasion of Ukraine.

    •        There is concern that Kyiv could fall tonight.

    •        “We are defending our country alone.” Said Zelensky  “The most powerful country in the world” is watching from a distance.

    •        Ukrainians are being asked to make Molotov cocktails in their houses.

    •          Ukrainians are giving out weapons to anyone who will take one.

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  • Aftermath of war for banking sector in Ukraine: What have we learnt from the 2014 conflict?

    February 25, 2022

    The armed confrontation between Ukraine and Russia started in March 2014 when Russia annexed the Crimean Peninsula, a sovereign Ukrainian territory.
    — Read on voxukraine.org/en/aftermath-of-war-for-banking-sector-in-ukraine-what-have-we-learnt-from-the-2014-conflict/

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  • Sanctions on Russia: SWIFT

    February 24, 2022

    Thursday afternoon 6:00 PM

    For some reason, I woke up at 1:30 AM and reached for my mini.  The first tweet I saw read: “Russia Declared War on Ukraine.”  I was up and in my study/studio in five minutes.  I have been there pretty much ever since.

    After watching the news and reading tweets from reporters, a lot of them from Ukraine, I wondered why Biden was not on television.  Then, they announced that he would be making a statement about the “crushing sanctions” at 9 AM.  Well, that didn’t happen.  Then, it was 12 noon.  That didn’t happen either.  Finally he spoke at 1:30 and the “crushing sanctions” were not apparent.  Biden spent a lot of time talking about sanctions that had already been imposed, bragging about them.  He spent time talking about domestic political considerations like the fear of rising gas prices.  He spent a lot of time praising himself for bringing “unity” to NATO, as if that (like bipartisanship) was an end in itself.  He did not, however, announce an impressive array of new sanctions, the sanctions we were being told were being held to implement if and when Putin invaded.  Putin invaded last night. 

    There is a curiously circular narrative about sanctions.  We were supposedly waiting to impose sanctions so that we would have something to threaten Putin with to keep him from invading.  We were told we should ignore the Ukrainians, Zelensky in particular, pleading for the implementation of sanctions before the economy fell apart and the country had been overtaken.  We had to have leverage to deter Putin.

    Then, after Putin invaded, we were told that sanctions wouldn’t really deter anybody.  What?  If they wouldn’t deter, why wait to implement them when Russian troops were already bombing and moving into Ukraine?  After Zelensky pleaded for sanctions now, the Biden administration promises in tough talking sound bites that we would impose immediate “crushing” (I wish I had a dollar for every time I heard that word) sanctions.  But, we didn’t. 

    Then, Biden explained that sanctions would take a long time to have an effect.  If that was the case why didn’t they implement them months ago, in fact, a year ago when Biden took office.  Russia had already annexed Crimea, taken over parts of Donbas, and squatted in Moldova. 

    None of this makes any sense without facing the utter feckless, cowardly stance of the Biden administration about holding those in power accountable.  They refuse to hold Putin accountable and they refuse to hold accountable Donald Trump who organized a coup.  Instead, they prefer to plead and cajole and try to win favor.  Biden bragged in the press conference about bring “unity” to NATO, as if that (like bipartisanship) was an end in itself.

    Weeks ago, the European press was reporting that Biden had taken removal of Russia from SWIFT off the negotiating table.  He removed this like he removed use of U.S. troops.  He didn’t have to.  The U.S. press, as far as I could see, didn’t even report the story of Biden’s (very Obama like) pre-emptive capitulation on SWIFT.  Reuters reported the existence of the European story, but did not appear to even try to confirm the story.  No White House reporter I heard even asked Biden whether he had already taken SWIFT off the table.

    Soon after I read the article about SWIFT, articles started to appear diminishing the estimation of the utility of removing Russia from SWIFT.  I wondered at the time if these articles were put out to support Biden’s capitulation.  But, the story barely made a ripple. 

    Biden refused to answer a reporter’s question in the press conference when asked what (the hell) he was waiting for.  Zelensky (who should know) is again demanding that the international community remove Russia from SWIFT.

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  • Ukraine Update

    February 24, 2022

    9:00 AM

    • Keir Simmons just called Putin “delusional.”
    • Vindman:” These objective were clear to me months ago.”  Shocked at how limited the attacks have been. 
    • Kyiv Independent: Belarus launches four ballistic missiles. 
    • 2-3 million refugees are expected if this continues, MSNBC
    • Video of cars lined up to leave Kyiv.
    • Poland is gearing up for refugees.  They are going to Western Ukraine.  Another package of sanctions is not going to get Putin to stand down.  Melinda Haring.
    • Stavridis, Adm. James on MSNBC: Fear miscalculation on the ground. 
    • Gen. Jack Keane, Fox News: Putin has chosen the most ambitious option h had available tohim.  Multiple focus points.  The will install a pro-russia government.  Seize key terrain, then install government.  Dnieper River has a dam.  Putin is trying to minimize civilian casualties? He knows the whole world is watching.  Operating on four different axes of advance. 

    1:30 PM

    • Olga Lauman notes that “pro-Russian separatists” is a totally misleading term.  These groups were created and maintained by the Russians for this very purpose.  Kremlin File Podcast.
    • Belarus needs to be sanctioned as well.
    • Chuck Todd is talking about Putin’s “paranoia.”
    • MSNBC has a tank on the set.  Even if it’s computer generated, it’s so tacky.  I’m from the South.  That’s the only word I can think of.  Cheesy, cheap, tacky.
    • Anti-war protestors in downtown Moscow.
    • I couldn’t understand why Biden wasn’t on television last night.  Then, they announced he would speak at 9:00, then at 12:00, now at 1:30.  Sanctions?  SWIFT?

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  • Alexander Vindman.

    February 24, 2022

    apple.news/AWSoL5x4qQXeXx0ZVtZJbiA

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  • Ukraine Update: 3:30 AM (EST) 9:30 Ukraine

    February 24, 2022

    Ukraine Update: 2:40 AM

    • MSNBC has video of Russian tanks entering Ukraine.
    • McFaul: We kept dreaming about negotiating with Putin.  It’s the “worst case scenario.” 
    • McFaul: NATO Rapid Response Force should be mobilized
    • Tur: Brings up the “unhinged” charge. 
    • McFaul says that Putin is increasingly “disconnected from reality.”  Note: Based on what evidence?
    • McFaul: It seems that Belarus forces are involved in this invasion as well.  Sanctions are not going to work.  “We should have no illusions…” 
    • MSNBC, video of traffic jam in Kyiv, line of cars trying to get out.  Standstill
    • CNN: Missile strikes in Kyiv, Russian troops have landed in Odessa. 
    • There are reports of tanks entering Ukraine from Belarus, but doesn’t tell us where in Belarus.
    • Putin calls it a military operation to protect Donbas and says that it is not an occupation.
    • BNO is posting a map of Ukraine showing attacks reported.  They are all over the country, in the interior, not just in Donbas.  Also, there are attacks near the border with Moldova where Russia controls part of the country. 
    • BNO is posting a video of a missile hit at the airport in Ivano-Frankivsk.
    • Note: I can see this “Putin is going to self-destruct” narrative on corporate news outlets.  This is a convenient narrative.  If Putin is going to self-destruct, the U.S. doesn’t have to make any hard choices on what to do.  The logical outcome of this reasoning is that we can just sit back and let Putin self-destruct.  This is delusional.
    • BNO News is reporting “hundreds” of Ukrainian soldiers killed.
    • BNO: Russia’s Defense Ministry is claiming that Ukrainian air defenses have been “neutralized.”
    • BNO: “Luhansk announces military operation to seize other areas it claims in eastern Ukraine.”
    • BNO: Moscow stock exchange says al trading suspended.
    • Ukraine’s foreignminister: “Putin has just launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.”
    • Harrogate News is reporting a strike near Chernobyl.

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  • Ukraine: Maps.

    February 24, 2022

    www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/world/europe/ukraine-maps.html

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